Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.126610e-03 0.001274 0.001423 0.001584 0.001753 0.001924 0.002111
2025-04-06 8.750403e-04 0.001100 0.001337 0.001603 0.001891 0.002191 0.002527
2025-04-13 6.775210e-04 0.000959 0.001271 0.001633 0.002036 0.002467 0.002956
2025-04-20 4.763532e-04 0.000788 0.001152 0.001593 0.002098 0.002649 0.003287
2025-04-27 3.179075e-04 0.000641 0.001045 0.001553 0.002152 0.002818 0.003601
2025-05-04 2.356479e-04 0.000575 0.001025 0.001610 0.002313 0.003106 0.004047
2025-05-11 1.473600e-04 0.000480 0.000956 0.001599 0.002390 0.003295 0.004380
2025-05-18 6.326346e-05 0.000357 0.000834 0.001510 0.002366 0.003363 0.004571
2025-05-25 2.058132e-05 0.000277 0.000758 0.001473 0.002398 0.003491 0.004829
2025-06-01 7.803451e-07 0.000206 0.000681 0.001426 0.002414 0.003596 0.005056
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000159 0.000634 0.001415 0.002470 0.003747 0.005334
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000141 0.000635 0.001468 0.002608 0.003994 0.005725
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000107 0.000604 0.001485 0.002713 0.004220 0.006113
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000078 0.000577 0.001508 0.002828 0.004464 0.006529
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000056 0.000557 0.001540 0.002958 0.004727 0.006971
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000026 0.000496 0.001503 0.002993 0.004874 0.007276
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000007 0.000438 0.001466 0.003024 0.005014 0.007573
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000003 0.000437 0.001522 0.003184 0.005317 0.008066
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000400 0.001512 0.003250 0.005500 0.008413
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000326 0.001426 0.003205 0.005539 0.008583
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001390 0.003227 0.005662 0.008855
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000239 0.001345 0.003233 0.005762 0.009096
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000213 0.001333 0.003288 0.005923 0.009412